Change My Mind: Your Hypothesis is Wrong
Treating the null hypothesis as a load-bearing belief system.
Introduction
The null hypothesis is conventionally treated as a statistical convenience, discarded the moment dips below 0.05. We treat it instead as a load-bearing belief system [1] and examine what happens when it is defended in public.
Method
A folding table was deployed at quad locations of varying foot traffic. Passers-by were invited to attempt a reasoned defection from , with the rejection rule fixed in advance as
and effect sizes reported alongside snack consumption. Sessions ran until sunset or security, whichever arrived first.
Results
Resistance to belief revision was measured in eye-rolls per minute, peaking at 14 erpm shortly after the phrase correlation is not causation. No challenger satisfied Equation (1). The null hypothesis lodged a formal apologia [2] and was retained in all sessions, twice on appeal. No participant changed their mind; several changed tables.
Conclusion
The session opens with a Socratic challenge and closes with a structured retraction ceremony for anyone feeling brave. Attendees should bring their strongest priors and a snack; the snack is non-negotiable.
References
- Crow S. Folding tables and unfolding arguments: field notes from the quad. Campus Discourse Studies. 2018;11(2):134-150.
- Null H. I am not a convenience: an apologia. Journal of Statistical Grievances. 2020;3(4):401-409.